Bloomberg Analysts Boost Spot Bitcoin ETF Approval Odds After Grayscale’s Court Victory

In early August 2023, Bloomberg ETF specialists Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart estimated a 65% probability for the approval of a spot bitcoin ETF. However, as August draws to its conclusion, and in light of a U.S. court siding with Grayscale over a legal tussle against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the pair have revised their prediction, now pegging the likelihood at 75%.

SEC Decision Looms for Seven Spot Bitcoin ETFs

Barring any delays, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is poised to either greenlight or turn down seven distinct proposals for a spot bitcoin ETF. These applications hail from notable names like Blackrock, Wisdomtree, Valkyrie, Fidelity, Vaneck, Bitwise, and Invesco. Bloomberg’s senior ETF analyst, Balchunas, conveyed that he and Seyffart have adjusted the odds from their earlier forecast.

“James Seyffart [and] I are upping our odds to 75% of spot bitcoin ETFs launching this yr (95% by end of ’24),” Balchunas posted to the social media platform X (formally Twitter). “While we factored Grayscale win into our prev 65% odds, the unanimity [and] decisiveness of ruling was beyond expectations and leaves SEC w ‘very little wiggle room’ via [Elliott Z. Stein].” The ETF analyst added:

Beyond the legal loss, there is also the PR loss (which matters [because] it sets narratives, [and] changes minds). And this got covered far and wide in mainstream media incl NYT, WSJ, CNN, AP, ABC [and] on and on. We think the legal and PR loss will combine to make denial politically untenable.

The ETF experts’ opinions follow a D.C. court’s decision siding with Grayscale, the largest crypto asset manager, in its legal battle against the SEC’s refusal to transition GBTC to a spot bitcoin ETF. Balchunas added that, given the recent ruling, he and Seyffart wouldn’t be taken aback if the SEC opts for a delay. Nevertheless, he believes the exact timing may be less pivotal; it’s more conceivable that one morning we’ll find out the SEC has relented and a launch is on the horizon.

What do you think about the two ETF analysts increasing the odds of a spot bitcoin ETF getting approval from the SEC? Share your thoughts and opinions about this subject in the comments section below.

source https://news.bitcoin.com/bloomberg-analysts-boost-spot-bitcoin-etf-approval-odds-after-grayscales-court-victory/

Komentar

Postingan populer dari blog ini

Spanish Treasury Secretary Says Cryptocurrencies Carry a ‘Risk of Default’, Repeats Bank of Spain’s Lack of Regulation Rhetoric

The government of Spain continues to harden its stance against widely adopting cryptocurrencies. The Spanish Secretary of State for the Economy recently expressed her concerns on risks that she thinks cryptos possess for the national economy. Secretary Doesn’t Like Bitcoin as It Cannot Be ‘Supervised or Sanctioned’ During the Online Fintech Summit 2021 , Ana de la Cueva said that cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin ( BTC ) carry “a risk of default, given that the user does not have the protection offered by traditional payment systems against a default by the counterparty.” In fact, the Secretary blasted off on the lack of a “centralized guarantee system” in bitcoin. Interestingly, at the beginning of her speech, De La Cueva mentioned that the cryptocurrency’s technology is based on blockchain. However, she later pointed out that there is no standard “clarity” on the nature of bitcoin. The Secretary repeated the same rhetoric of Spanish state entities on crypto assets, saying that th...

Baca selengkapnya

Barry Silbert Resigns as Chairman of Grayscale Investments

Digital Currency Group (DCG) founder Barry Silbert has resigned from his position as the chairman of Grayscale Investments. Current DCG chief financial officer Mark Shifke succeeds Silbert and is joined by Edward McGee and Matthew Kummell as members of the new look board. Preparing for Grayscale’s Next Chapter Barry Silbert, the founder and CEO of Digital Currency Group, has resigned from his position as chairman of the digital asset management company Grayscale and will be replaced by Mark Shifke. According to the company’s filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), starting Jan. 1, 2024, Grayscale’s board will be composed of Mark Shifke, Matthew Kummell, and Edward McGee. Current Grayscale Investments CEO Michael Sonnenshein is also a board member, while Mark Murphy, the president of Digital Currency Group (DCG), departs alongside Silbert. Commenting on the changes to the board, an unidentified Grayscale spokeswoman reportedly said: “Grayscale and our investors ...

Baca selengkapnya

48 US Lawmakers Ask SEC Chair Gensler to Clarify Whether ETH Is a Security — Warn of ‘Negative Repercussions’

Forty-eight U.S. lawmakers have sent a letter to U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler asking him to clarify whether ether is a security. “The negative repercussions of the SEC implicitly or directly classifying ETH as a digital asset security will cascade throughout the digital asset marketplace both in the short and long […] source https://news.bitcoin.com/48-us-lawmakers-ask-sec-chair-gensler-to-clarify-whether-eth-is-a-security-warn-of-negative-repercussions/

Baca selengkapnya

Crypto Account Manager

Cari Blog Ini